Defenseless-Diarist
0x20d919b88e1cede2093f6a9cfc94734c2ad95490
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
6
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$589.42
Realised
$803.06
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?
1931 shares @ 62.8¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$-102.83
- YES
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
2000 shares @ 23.2¢·now 17.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$354.00
$-109.57
- YES
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
1000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 25.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$255.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?
222 shares @ 31.6¢·now 35.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$78.96
$8.73
- YES
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?
906 shares @ 0.3¢·now 1.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$15.41
$13.02
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?
300 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$39.06Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$7.65Jun 12, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$10.07Jun 11, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$4.77Jun 10, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$36.75Jun 9, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$6.15Jun 8, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?$390.00Jun 4, 09:41 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$140.4KJun 4, 09:41 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$7.29Jun 4, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$7.92Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$13.20Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$7.92Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$2.31Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$7.04Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$6.16Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$4.40Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$13.20Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by December 31?$8.80Jun 4, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$9.60Jun 4, 00:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.5KJun 3, 23:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $6.0K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 1, 14:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.