0x21025c1501468436ba6a7dc19304429a5769f516
0x21025c1501468436ba6a7dc19304429a5769f516
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
168
Open notional
$155.96
Total PnL
$-431.29
Realised
$-1.75
Win rate
39%
31 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 168- NO
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 4 to April 6, 2026?
27 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$27.17
$2.17
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
27 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$26.79
$1.87
- NO
Will MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?
26 shares @ 93.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$25.99
$1.64
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?
5 shares @ 29.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$5.00
$3.55
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.00
$1.05
- YES
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?
5 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$5.00
$2.45
- ALEXANDRE MULLER
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Matteo Arnaldi vs Alexandre Muller
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$5.00
$2.20
- YES
Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?
5 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$5.00
$2.55
- YES
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
5 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.00
$2.00
- SEATTLE MARINERS
Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$5.00
$2.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill MOUZ win IEM Rio 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.20Apr 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $68,000 April 13-19?$1.00Apr 15, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$0.09Apr 15, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$0.85Apr 15, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$0.85Apr 15, 03:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets in April?$0.49Apr 15, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.05Apr 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 13-19?$1.45Apr 14, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1.15Apr 14, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?$10.00Apr 14, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $76,000 April 6-12?$0.00Apr 13, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?$0.00Apr 13, 07:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$3.95Apr 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$1.30Apr 11, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.56Apr 11, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.39Apr 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$0.35Apr 11, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$1.18Apr 11, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$0.57Apr 11, 18:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $4.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 04:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 17, 19:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 31 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".