Unwilling-Wildebeest
0x21246c86886b00f6020d3566eed0f38324b0dd56
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$49.71
Total PnL
$-299.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?
30 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$30.09
$0.09
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$5.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
4 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.77
$1.81
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
3 shares @ 97.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.09
$0.09
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
2 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 9.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.14
$0.14
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
26 shares @ 3.9¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.01
$0.01
- NO
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?
1 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30?$1.00May 29, 16:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.05May 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.05May 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12PM ET$5.01May 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00May 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$2.00May 16, 21:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $5,000 in May?$30.01May 3, 13:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$3.00May 3, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$4.17May 3, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$6.49May 3, 13:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.05May 3, 13:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$28.15Apr 25, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$28.07Apr 22, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$2.00Apr 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$5.00Apr 22, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$10.00Apr 22, 20:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?$48.07Apr 22, 20:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $12.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 4, 15:17 UTC
- Last active
- May 29, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".