Quixotic-Desktop
0x215de45f539d6cc74ac454d10fcead608c069a44
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$772.61
Total PnL
$-19.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
777 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$772.61
$-0.39
- YES
Will Christian Lindner be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Kim Boo-kyum be elected the next president of South Korea?
1090 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Heidi Reichinnek be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1070 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.07
- TIGERS
Mets vs. Tigers
16 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2025$0.00
$-7.30
- TIMBERWOLVES
Timberwolves vs. Thunder
9 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2025$0.00
$-2.30
- ROYALS
Royals vs. Phillies
7 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 19, 2025$0.00
$-3.25
- PIRATES
Cubs vs. Pirates
7 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 22, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?$773.15May 18, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$789.16May 18, 06:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 15, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$790.02May 14, 20:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$151.80May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$309.60May 14, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$311.60May 14, 20:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$152.04May 13, 11:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$310.07May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$312.07May 13, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYCubs vs. Pirates$3.00Sep 15, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYRoyals vs. Phillies$3.25Sep 12, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMets vs. Tigers$7.30Sep 2, 07:58 UTC
- REDEEMThunder vs. Pacers$5.15Jun 23, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Pacers$1.70Jun 19, 11:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Thunder$2.30May 28, 08:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?$5.49May 15, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Grzegorz Braun be the next President of Poland?$5.50May 15, 08:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Netherlands win Eurovision 2025?$2.43May 13, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $86.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 15:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".