Sparse-Servant
0x21bac188598c79a827cd54c2db710775a49f408f
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.2K
Total PnL
$-931.36
Realised
$-200.55
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
900 shares @ 86.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$535.50
$-241.50
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1000 shares @ 72.8¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$465.00
$-263.00
- NO
Will there be at least 2300 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$194.40
$14.40
- YES
Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 26.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.00
$6.00
- NO
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?
10 shares @ 90.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.71
$0.70
- YES
Will there be at least 1800 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?
1602 shares @ 14.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-236.52
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in April 2026?
10 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 19:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in May 2026?$0.00Jun 11, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$616.00Jun 10, 19:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$58.20Jun 10, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in June 2026?$9.04Jun 10, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in May 2026?$1.68Jun 9, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$592.00Jun 6, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$9.55Jun 5, 20:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$9.41Jun 4, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$18.12Jun 4, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026?$53.92Jun 4, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$80.00Jun 3, 20:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$135.99Jun 2, 20:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$23.50Jun 1, 11:24 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00Jun 1, 08:25 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$510.00Jun 1, 07:02 UTC
- REDEEMIran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 1, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$81.00May 30, 15:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?$489.29May 30, 15:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $123.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 22, 15:44 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 19:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.