Ragged-Refuse
0x2254535e71d727864e9b6bd554a2b48ff22a89da
Quality score
65/100
Open positions
9
Open notional
$57.25
Total PnL
$-62.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?
129 shares @ 23.2¢·now 13.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.10
$-12.90
- YES
Will SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?
108 shares @ 9.3¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.51
$4.51
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
32 shares @ 30.8¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.34
$2.34
- NO
Will SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?
17 shares @ 57.3¢·now 64.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$11.19
$1.19
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
25 shares @ 40.3¢·now 8.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.11
$-7.89
- YES
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?
100 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
91 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?
14 shares @ 71.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$12.6612h ago
- TRADEBUYWill UAE strike Iran by March 31?$10.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$10.0031d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$10.0040d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$10.0044d ago
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$50.0046d ago
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.5948d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$10.0053d ago
- TRADESELLWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$80.6953d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$100.0053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?$10.0053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$40.7053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$10.0053d ago
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by March 31?$20.0053d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$10.0054d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$10.0054d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 140-159 launches in 2026?$10.0054d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?$10.0054d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?$20.0054d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $22.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 54d ago
- Last active
- 12h ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.