Mountainous-Stability
0x2282a5df686f9dd2326bba576226850d439273e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-674.29
Realised
$-60.61
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
2593 shares @ 73.6¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.0K
$100.22
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
3299 shares @ 56.5¢·now 42.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.4K
$-463.66
- YES
Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?
1359 shares @ 56.1¢·now 56.0¢·exp Oct 5, 2026$761.16
$-1.63
- YES
Will Pizza Hut be acquired before 2027?
880 shares @ 58.7¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$717.39
$200.42
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?
1019 shares @ 58.9¢·now 59.5¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$606.18
$6.03
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
1077 shares @ 69.7¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$403.73
$-346.57
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
358 shares @ 54.0¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$241.98
$48.40
- YES
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?
241 shares @ 83.3¢·now 88.8¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$213.53
$13.11
- NO
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
2000 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$210.00
$-170.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$216.00Jun 14, 05:37 UTC
- REWARD$3.97Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$474.00Jun 13, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$5.26Jun 13, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$43.52Jun 13, 12:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$260.87Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$308.63Jun 13, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$480.25Jun 13, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?$508.00Jun 13, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$5.27Jun 13, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$6.33Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$7.59Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$9.11Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$10.94Jun 13, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?$13.36Jun 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$45.73Jun 13, 10:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$498.75Jun 13, 08:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$3.75Jun 13, 08:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$328.38Jun 13, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$306.84Jun 13, 05:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $129.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 18:56 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 05:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.