Powerful-Spat
0x22a94fbd95850793cb01b9496d57a78fc6bbdce8
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$126.53
Total PnL
$-35.36
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
45 shares @ 89.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$40.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
271 shares @ 9.2¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$33.93
$8.93
- NO
Will Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
37 shares @ 80.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2027$30.87
$0.87
- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?
54 shares @ 37.3¢·now 37.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$20.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.61
$-1.27
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
105 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
29 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Colombia be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
20 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
9 shares @ 33.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$39.25Jul 17, 01:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$1.42Jul 15, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuel Bompard announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$40.18Jul 12, 05:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?$30.23Jul 12, 05:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jean-Luc Mélenchon advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?$20.50Jul 12, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$19.22Jul 12, 04:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$20.00Jul 10, 00:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?$6.14Jul 8, 06:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 8, 00:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill USA be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$10.81Jul 7, 04:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 7, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $11.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 09:19 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 17, 01:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.