Green-Recruit
0x22dbd51e1a4e10fff072fa24300238c64033190f
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
125
Open notional
$20.8K
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$310.73
Win rate
52%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 125- NO
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
2451 shares @ 48.0¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.4K
$1.3K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
1700 shares @ 88.5¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.7K
$183.59
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2000 shares @ 23.8¢·now 74.9¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.5K
$1.0K
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
1610 shares @ 45.6¢·now 73.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$449.87
- YES
Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?
996 shares @ 37.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$975.83
$607.33
- YES
Will Sofia host Eurovision 2027?
900 shares @ 89.1¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$832.50
$30.50
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
850 shares @ 83.9¢·now 75.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$637.04
$-75.92
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
4866 shares @ 8.6¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$615.55
$194.93
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?
820 shares @ 69.0¢·now 75.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$615.09
$49.02
- YES
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
775 shares @ 37.4¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$577.13
$287.67
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$14.50Jul 29, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$8.00Jul 29, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.80Jul 29, 01:03 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$5.06Jul 29, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?$156.00Jul 29, 00:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 29, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Warsh say "Projection" during July Press Conference?$1.80Jul 29, 00:02 UTC
- REWARD$21.68Jul 29, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$33.25Jul 28, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$11.47Jul 28, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.00Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.33Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$1.00Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.67Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$2.67Jul 28, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$51.40Jul 28, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$23.40Jul 28, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no one dissent the July Fed decision?$132.60Jul 28, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$122.27Jul 28, 22:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Israel" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?$1.7KJul 28, 22:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
55/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
52% win rate over 42 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 39/100.
42 closed markets, 52% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $100.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 18:29 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.