Dearest-Camel
0x2348d91fbff18dccef706d9bca67287aa3fdf262
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$13.71
Total PnL
$-3.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
2 shares @ 42.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 7, 2025$2.35
$1.35
- TOLEDO ROCKETS
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets
2 shares @ 52.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.91
$0.92
- OHIO STATE BUCKEYES
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.88
$0.88
- VIRGINIA CAVALIERS
Spread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 12, 2026$1.84
$0.85
- YES
Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?
2 shares @ 55.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.81
$0.81
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$1.75
$0.75
- YES
Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.08
$0.08
- YES
Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.88
$-0.12
- YES
Will Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBowling Green Falcons vs. Toledo Rockets$1.00Mar 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Virginia Cavaliers (-5.5)$1.00Mar 12, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIowa Hawkeyes vs. Ohio State Buckeyes$1.00Mar 12, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Genter Drummond win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cornyn come in 2nd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$1.00Jan 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Dopropillia by June 30?$1.00Jan 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Jan 6, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$1.00Jan 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$1.00Jan 6, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$1.00Nov 14, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Oct 28, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$1.00Oct 8, 08:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$1.32Oct 8, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?$1.47Oct 8, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia win Intervision 2025?$1.00Sep 2, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast say Million / Billion 15+ times during next video?$1.00Aug 19, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$1.00Aug 7, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?$1.00Jul 29, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Samuel Doria Medina win the most votes in the first round of the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?$1.00Jul 22, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$1.00Jul 15, 05:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
3/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 9, 06:08 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 12, 08:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.