Which-Estate
0x235e75bafc6c7cc39a1fcc454e7034c1b5845673
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
106
Open notional
$27.6K
Total PnL
$-23.8K
Realised
$4.1K
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 106- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
6600 shares @ 78.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$6.6K
$1.4K
- YES
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series?
13840 shares @ 28.8¢·now 30.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$4.2K
$233.91
- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
6000 shares @ 57.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$4.2K
$739.42
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2065 shares @ 50.3¢·now 73.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.5K
$475.72
- YES
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?
2030 shares @ 59.1¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$1.3K
$140.90
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 42.9¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$859.00
$1.00
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
1000 shares @ 81.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$854.99
$45.00
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
1917 shares @ 30.3¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$843.29
$261.82
- YES
Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 National League Championship Series?
1908 shares @ 39.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 1, 2026$810.78
$66.77
- YES
Will the Seattle Seahawks win the 2027 NFL league championship?
10400 shares @ 9.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$676.00
$-271.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$438.80Jul 29, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$1.00Jul 29, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$360.20Jul 29, 16:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.17Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$37.55Jul 28, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$4.58Jul 28, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$143.20Jul 28, 08:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$144.31Jul 28, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants AND Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinals$300.00Jul 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoston Red Sox vs. Athletics AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$500.00Jul 28, 01:11 UTC
- TRADESELLNew York Yankees vs. Chicago White Sox AND Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics AND Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Francisco Giants$112.38Jul 28, 01:00 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.48Jul 28, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$1.70Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$43.00Jul 27, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$65.75Jul 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$19.00Jul 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$95.00Jul 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$19.00Jul 27, 19:16 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$64.64Jul 27, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 64/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $199.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 26, 13:57 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.