Spherical-Speedboat
0x23c952227fe2fd0ae053b3070de1d151e900d44f
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
45
Open notional
$5.32
Total PnL
$-339.18
Realised
$-26.20
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
9 shares @ 22.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.77
$-0.23
- YES
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?
8 shares @ 26.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.04
$-0.96
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.83
$-1.17
- YES
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
21 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.18
$-3.82
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
745 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-51.06
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
216 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?
204 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
196 shares @ 22.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-44.76
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?
188 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.26
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$7.19Mar 10, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?$2.00Mar 10, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$4.73Mar 10, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Mar 10, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?$2.00Mar 10, 19:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Cyprus in March?$1.00Mar 10, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Turkey in March?$2.00Mar 10, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$14.53Mar 10, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$10.00Mar 10, 19:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$40.76Feb 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$12.00Feb 27, 20:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$19.06Feb 27, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?$20.00Feb 27, 15:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$11.56Feb 27, 15:39 UTC
- TRADESELLIran coup attempt by June 30?$5.50Feb 27, 15:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 16, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 15:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $7.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 19, 08:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 20:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".