Lustrous-Kickoff
0x2400b3c532cae586d170e3fab47e0ff2d070922c
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
75
Open notional
$446.21
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$11.27
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 75- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
688 shares @ 11.6¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$122.07
$42.08
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
203 shares @ 19.7¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$86.12
$46.12
- YES
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?
222 shares @ 42.5¢·now 34.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$76.67
$-17.76
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
510 shares @ 5.9¢·now 8.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.62
$14.62
- YES
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
42 shares @ 67.0¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jun 11, 2026$27.71
$-0.21
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 6.8¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$25.74
$5.74
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
230 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$20.57
$0.57
- YES
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?
388 shares @ 5.7¢·now 4.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.50
$-5.50
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
31 shares @ 32.5¢·now 32.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$9.87
$-0.13
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
8 shares @ 61.1¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.12
$2.12
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 23, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?$30.01May 22, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?$25.50May 22, 03:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$55.56May 22, 03:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 22, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$28.20May 21, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-24?$40.40May 21, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-05-21?$30.72May 21, 13:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 20, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 19, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMKevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?$15.97May 12, 19:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?$59.32May 12, 19:29 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 12, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $30.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 23, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".