Esteemed-Effector
0x24a362287bff2b5f8a70228f68dfacc91c3775b3
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
35
Open notional
$443.79
Total PnL
$54.97
Realised
$10.30
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 35- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
201 shares @ 89.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$201.00
$21.71
- SYRACUSE ORANGE
Saint Joseph's Hawks vs. Syracuse Orange
78 shares @ 49.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$78.00
$39.78
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
25 shares @ 82.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.47
$3.77
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026?
24 shares @ 69.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$24.00
$7.38
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?
18 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$18.00
$2.16
- NO
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$16.00
$5.76
- NO
Another critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?
16 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$16.00
$1.92
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000?
15 shares @ 72.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$15.00
$4.09
- YES
Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
12 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$12.00
$2.24
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
9 shares @ 83.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$9.00
$1.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAnother critical Cloudflare incident by January 31?$14.08Jan 15, 23:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYNamed storm forms before hurricane season?$1.76Jan 15, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for January 15 be greater than 2,000,000?$10.90Jan 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$1.38Jan 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.22Jan 15, 22:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$2.76Jan 15, 22:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$7.38Jan 15, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill fewer than 30 tornadoes occur in the United States in January 2026?$4.14Jan 15, 21:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?$3.01Jan 15, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$6.72Jan 15, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win the first round by 2–4%?$0.87Jan 15, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$14.03Jan 15, 21:17 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$5.61Jan 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$3.30Jan 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$13.57Jan 15, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during Panthers visit?$3.54Jan 15, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$3.24Jan 15, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$6.93Jan 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrench election called by June 30, 2026?$1.98Jan 15, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?$10.98Jan 15, 20:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 13:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 15, 23:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".