Grotesque-Taxpayer
0x24ce86c092f26b75ade1a7c81f4b265fffa5109f
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$37.30
Total PnL
$-0.96
Realised
$2.50
Win rate
80%
5 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
28 shares @ 57.4¢·now 59.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$16.60
$0.59
- YES
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
161 shares @ 4.8¢·now 4.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.37
$-1.32
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
70 shares @ 5.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$3.83
$-0.32
- YES
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
97 shares @ 4.1¢·now 2.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$2.66
$-1.34
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.94
$-0.06
- YES
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$1.93
$-0.07
- YES
Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.90
$-0.10
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 21.8¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.22
$0.17
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 23.0¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$0.68
$-0.21
- YES
Iran leadership change by May 31?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-16?$2.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?$2.032h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$2.082h ago
- TRADESELLWill Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.962h ago
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?$4.4713d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 21?$0.0019d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?$0.0019d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 21?$1.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 21?$1.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-26?$2.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-19?$3.0920d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?$0.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 19?$0.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 19?$0.0020d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 19?$0.0020d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 19?$1.0021d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 19?$1.0022d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be greater than $80,000 on April 19?$1.0023d ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on April 19?$1.0023d ago
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on April 17?$3.8023d ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $1.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 30d ago
- Last active
- 2h ago
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
