Embarrassed-Tulip
0x24d2858abb58ff1e42e8e1f81f8585021645f53d
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$537.78
Total PnL
$-1.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
500 shares @ 60.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$397.50
$97.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
870 shares @ 28.7¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$134.82
$-115.17
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.33
$-46.67
- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
250 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.13
$-12.88
- YES
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
1103 shares @ 27.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-300.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $90,000 in November?
875 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in November?
758 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 1, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- NO
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
690 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
521 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
424 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$15.00May 11, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00May 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$10.00May 11, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$300.00May 11, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$200.00Apr 11, 13:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$100.00Apr 11, 12:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$200.00Apr 11, 12:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 09:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$0.00Apr 2, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by June 30?$50.00Mar 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$25.00Mar 17, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$400.00Mar 14, 16:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$300.00Mar 14, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?$300.00Mar 14, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$200.00Mar 10, 20:31 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$348.75Mar 7, 08:49 UTC
- REDEEMNothing Ever Happens: February$706.40Mar 7, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?$100.00Feb 27, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: February$150.00Feb 23, 13:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$1.5KJan 15, 12:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $223.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 17:44 UTC
- Last active
- May 11, 11:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.