Possible-Kiwi
0x25662ec8e174cfe494e7643fb05d0b1f06787d60
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$624.09
Total PnL
$-115.03
Realised
$-89.78
Win rate
13%
8 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
530 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$479.65
$45.05
- YES
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
199 shares @ 35.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$128.35
$58.70
- NO
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$8.35
$0.35
- NO
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?
4 shares @ 50.0¢·now 71.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.84
$0.84
- YES
Rippling IPO before 2027?
18 shares @ 20.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.61
$-0.99
- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 48.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.94
$0.46
- NO
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 54.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.91
$0.36
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
1 shares @ 8.3¢·now 32.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.33
$0.24
- YES
Will 2026 be the fourth-hottest year on record?
26 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.12
$-7.42
- YES
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30?
195 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-122.85
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Player 58 win Beast Games: Season 2?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Homan" during the State of the Union address?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kanye tweet again by February 28?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $1.80 (LOW) by February 28, 2026?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Deportivo Pereira win on 2026-02-05?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the New England Patriots be eliminated in the Conference Championship Round?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan Chase or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 16, 7AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - February 16, 6AM ET$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMValorant: sleepers vs M80 - Map 1 Winner$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMHamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMSouthern Miss Golden Eagles vs. Prairie View A&M Panthers$135.15Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Pheu Thai Party (PT) win 110 or more seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$313.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMDundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 1)$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Crack Cocaine" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMAl Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
13% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $137.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 09:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 18, 07:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.