Impassioned-Source
0x25723726a118828c0678e861c705cafcd17a0a87
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
43
Open notional
$101.74
Total PnL
$8.65
Realised
$0.04
Win rate
43%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 in July?
92 shares @ 2.4¢·now 6.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$5.96
$3.76
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $1,900 in July?
10 shares @ 23.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$4.73
$2.53
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?
15 shares @ 15.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$3.89
$1.69
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 43.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.76
$0.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
7 shares @ 32.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.65
$0.45
- YES
Will Solana reach $100 in July?
10 shares @ 21.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.61
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
3 shares @ 64.3¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.59
$0.56
- NO
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,600 in July?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$2.49
$0.29
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 82.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.43
$0.23
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
3 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.42
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $100 in July?$0.00Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.40 in July?$0.02Jul 3, 09:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in July?$2.23Jul 3, 08:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in July?$2.48Jul 3, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $0.60 in July?$2.22Jul 3, 02:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in July?$2.02Jul 3, 02:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$2.26Jul 3, 02:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?$1.85Jul 3, 02:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.25Jul 2, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum reach $2,300 in July?$2.74Jul 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $110 in July?$2.36Jul 2, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana dip to $70 in July?$2.10Jul 2, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $120 in July?$1.07Jul 2, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in July?$2.36Jul 2, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$0.06Jul 2, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana dip to $70 in July?$2.30Jul 2, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?$0.03Jul 2, 16:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$2.59Jul 2, 15:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $80,000 in July?$2.38Jul 2, 15:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
25/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
43% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 2, 10:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 10:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.