Well-Lit-Buyer
0x258ab37a146c55faa247eaa4306f740087d846bd
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
41
Open notional
$126.40
Total PnL
$74.22
Realised
$111.06
Win rate
66%
32 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
59 shares @ 92.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.67
$-0.02
- NO
Will Asaad Alnajjar win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
27 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$26.89
$0.04
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?
20 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.3¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$18.74
$0.04
- YES
Will George Pickens be traded?
30 shares @ 17.5¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 22, 2026$8.33
$3.13
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?
9 shares @ 92.6¢·now 90.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$8.16
$-0.21
- NO
Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?
4 shares @ 69.5¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.14
$0.53
- YES
Will Conrad Kramer leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
10 shares @ 98.4¢·now 24.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.33
$-7.16
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
2 shares @ 87.5¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.55
$-0.04
- NO
Will Discord’s market cap be $30B or greater at market close on IPO day?
1 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.15
$0.00
- NO
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?
3 shares @ 20.2¢·now 17.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.60
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?$18.10Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?$3.60Jun 13, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLCap FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1.33Jun 13, 01:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:12 UTC
- MERGEWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$0.73Jun 12, 22:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bernie endorse Alan Grayson for FL-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?$18.50Jun 12, 19:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trent Williams be traded?$7.35Jun 12, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alvin Kamara be traded?$4.55Jun 12, 14:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trent Williams be traded?$2.61Jun 12, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 10 and 20 years in prison?$8.81Jun 12, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Romeu Zema finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.52Jun 12, 02:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill D.K. Metcalf be traded?$0.22Jun 11, 22:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill D.K. Metcalf be traded?$0.04Jun 11, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$12.07Jun 11, 17:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$0.27Jun 11, 15:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alvin Kamara be traded?$17.20Jun 11, 15:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?$1.11Jun 11, 15:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?$9.81Jun 11, 12:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?$7.19Jun 11, 12:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 07:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 09:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 32 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.