Lost-Allegation
0x2604bc7332bcf55469fdc9560f891d75754713cc
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
47
Open notional
$1.4K
Total PnL
$272.81
Realised
$270.48
Win rate
50%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 47- NO
Will Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?
584 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$584.00
$128.55
- YES
Will Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?
374 shares @ 82.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$374.00
$67.32
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
264 shares @ 19.2¢·now 62.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$164.08
$113.42
- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
306 shares @ 26.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$125.46
$45.90
- YES
Will Keon Ellis be traded this season?
53 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$53.00
$10.07
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 77.0¢·now 59.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$40.71
$-12.42
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$18.75
$-2.25
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
17 shares @ 41.0¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.34
$9.37
- NO
Will Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?
10 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$10.00
$2.00
- YES
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$5.00
$2.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$155.255d ago
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$28.565d ago
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$7.3676d ago
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$8.8076d ago
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$236.6076d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$51.2477d ago
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$67.8377d ago
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$716.00104d ago
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.32105d ago
- TRADESELLWill Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?$28.49105d ago
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?$62.10105d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $5.31105d ago
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $63.69105d ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by March 31 2026?$455.45105d ago
- TRADESELLWill The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?$37.44105d ago
- TRADESELLRippling IPO before 2027?$38.40105d ago
- TRADESELLOver $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$35.99105d ago
- TRADESELLOver $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$47.20105d ago
- TRADESELLOver $800M raised on Coinbase in 2026?$38.35105d ago
- TRADESELLWill any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$24.20105d ago
Score breakdown
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $87.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 106d ago
- Last active
- 5d ago
Score is a 0–100 composite of open position size, breadth (number of trades), realised + unrealised ROI, win rate on closed markets, and category specialisation.