Lost-Allegation
0x2604bc7332bcf55469fdc9560f891d75754713cc
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$437.87
Total PnL
$81.01
Realised
$225.50
Win rate
33%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- NO
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
306 shares @ 26.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$209.61
$130.05
- NO
Over $400M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
264 shares @ 19.2¢·now 59.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$156.82
$106.16
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
30 shares @ 70.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$24.90
$3.90
- YES
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 77.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.73
$-31.39
- NO
Will Pacifica launch a token by June 30 2026?
17 shares @ 41.0¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$16.62
$9.65
- NO
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026?
7 shares @ 30.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.66
$2.49
- NO
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.53
$-0.27
- NO
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 96.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$0.92
$-0.05
- NO
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
1 shares @ 63.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$0.81
$0.17
- YES
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?
2 shares @ 17.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.15
$-0.19
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the San Antonio Spurs win more than 44.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$1.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?$5.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amanda Edwards win TX-18 Special Election?$10.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Keon Ellis be traded this season?$53.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Flying Tulip launch a token by September 30, 2026?$374.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Tempo launch a token by March 31, 2026?$584.00May 7, 07:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$155.25Apr 21, 10:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?$28.56Apr 21, 04:39 UTC
- TRADESELLAnduril IPO before 2027?$7.36Feb 8, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLRamp IPO before 2027?$8.80Feb 8, 18:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026?$236.60Feb 8, 14:27 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$51.24Feb 8, 11:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$67.83Feb 8, 11:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Biden" during oil executive meetings on Friday?$716.00Jan 11, 17:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Frankenstein win Best Costume Design at the 98th Academy Awards?$4.32Jan 10, 23:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lauri Markkanen be traded this season?$28.49Jan 10, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Luís Marques Mendes win between 18% and 20% of votes in the first round?$62.10Jan 10, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $5.31Jan 10, 21:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025? $63.69Jan 10, 21:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $81.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 07:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.