Constant-Grit
0x266449f972767343e8f4aa5ca711e64a6d1b706d
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$495.71
Total PnL
$-159.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by April 30?
328 shares @ 61.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$327.87
$127.87
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
123 shares @ 81.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$111.73
$11.73
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
37 shares @ 68.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.91
$7.91
- NO
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
211 shares @ 47.4¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.21
$-76.79
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
168 shares @ 59.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?
164 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
56 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$100.00Mar 26, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$23.45Mar 23, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$100.00Mar 16, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by April 30?$100.00Mar 16, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?$100.00Mar 16, 22:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$96.81Mar 16, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$100.00Mar 3, 01:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by March 31?$50.00Mar 2, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00Mar 1, 06:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$136.09Feb 28, 07:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$30.00Feb 21, 12:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?$100.00Feb 20, 19:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?$30.00Feb 20, 19:46 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$27.14Feb 20, 19:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$27.72Feb 20, 19:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$5.00Feb 19, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$20.00Feb 4, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$20.00Feb 2, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$20.00Feb 2, 20:23 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?$147.46Feb 2, 09:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 21
- Avg trade size
- $65.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 31, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 00:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.