Formal-Believer
0x2761eb666981451519dbbaa9c1dd1cabf028b478
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$27.95
Total PnL
$-31.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Cap FDV above $1B one day after launch?
25 shares @ 94.2¢·now 93.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$23.40
$-0.15
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
5 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$4.55
$1.55
- MIBR
Valorant: MIBR vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs
250 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-22.50
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET
7 shares @ 48.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
6 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
6 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
2 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$0.45May 18, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$12.09May 18, 08:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$3.86May 18, 08:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$1.06May 17, 23:21 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$0.01May 17, 23:16 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$45.51May 17, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$40.36May 17, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$32.97May 17, 23:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$31.17May 17, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$0.56May 17, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.04May 17, 23:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$1.05May 17, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$0.40May 17, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$1.04May 17, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$1.03May 17, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$1.02May 17, 22:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.71May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$3.23May 17, 22:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$2.40May 17, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$3.07May 17, 22:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $6.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 16:52 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".