Raw-Toothpick
0x27c1467ac22fcb9caf3aec0b58baab42a1a4f4ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
23
Open notional
$3.7K
Total PnL
$-12.4K
Realised
$-7.7K
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
1656 shares @ 45.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$703.62
$-41.39
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4250 shares @ 17.6¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$694.88
$-53.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 17.2¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$666.00
$-22.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4325 shares @ 9.4¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$495.21
$86.22
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 11.2¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$386.00
$-62.00
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 8.2¢·now 7.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$314.00
$-14.00
- YES
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
4000 shares @ 8.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$298.00
$-58.00
- YES
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1008 shares @ 7.1¢·now 8.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.12
$11.56
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
594 shares @ 8.0¢·now 7.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$44.25
$-3.17
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
2 shares @ 75.8¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.35
$0.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.33Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.34Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.65Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$980.30Jun 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$992.00Jun 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 10, 09:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.3KJun 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.0KJun 10, 09:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.9KJun 10, 09:21 UTC
- YIELD$1.12Jun 10, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$1.12Jun 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.11Jun 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.10Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$1.12Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$1.12Jun 4, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$1.12Jun 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$1.29Jun 2, 00:10 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$9.73Jun 1, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $354.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 14:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.