Full-Paddock
0x280143c12c70cf810ba728c87e70ae16c35cebdc
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
39
Open notional
$380.29
Total PnL
$-6.95
Realised
$9.45
Win rate
45%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 39- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
44 shares @ 63.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$27.57
$-0.22
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox
40 shares @ 50.0¢·now 54.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$21.38
$1.58
- DRIPMEN
Counter-Strike: Dripmen vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs
44 shares @ 50.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$21.27
$-0.89
- YES
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?
46 shares @ 44.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 14, 2026$20.46
$0.23
- CAVS
NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons
43 shares @ 29.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$18.79
$6.26
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
30 shares @ 52.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.75
$2.90
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
25 shares @ 62.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$15.33
$0.12
- YES
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
35 shares @ 42.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp May 26, 2026$14.20
$-0.53
- YES
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
17 shares @ 75.9¢·now 77.8¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.23
$0.31
- YES
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
17 shares @ 78.0¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$13.13
$-0.08
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$12.3613m ago
- TRADESELLStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.621h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.991h ago
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 31, 2026?$5.991h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?$7.751h ago
- TRADEBUYGold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 12?$12.761h ago
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?$5.962h ago
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$12.172h ago
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$2.872h ago
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$0.022h ago
- TRADESELLPistons vs. Cavaliers$4.322h ago
- TRADEBUYNHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Ducks vs. Golden Knights $4.002h ago
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$10.763h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $7.323h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $0.613h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $0.583h ago
- YIELD$0.003h ago
- TRADEBUYPistons vs. Cavaliers$20.593h ago
- TRADESELLCounter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B$3.563h ago
- TRADEBUYNBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Cavaliers vs. Pistons $4.034h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 10h ago
- Last active
- 13m ago
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".