Aged-Scenery
0x2814d522137052b40427447288bcd67fb6375596
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
97
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-6.0K
Realised
$-364.22
Win rate
75%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 97- YES
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?
3935 shares @ 11.7¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$373.84
$-84.64
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
1668 shares @ 15.0¢·now 12.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$208.49
$-41.51
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
200 shares @ 82.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$184.00
$19.00
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
264 shares @ 46.0¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$179.52
$58.08
- YES
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
2083 shares @ 12.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$156.25
$-93.75
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
604 shares @ 41.4¢·now 21.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$129.92
$-120.08
- YES
Iran leadership change by December 31?
624 shares @ 56.1¢·now 18.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$115.40
$-234.60
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
113 shares @ 51.3¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$103.52
$45.52
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
264 shares @ 50.0¢·now 34.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$89.76
$-42.24
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1042 shares @ 9.6¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$64.06
$-35.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$64.00Jun 14, 07:21 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.58Jun 13, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$85.58Jun 13, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$19.71Jun 13, 11:35 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$94.00Jun 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$70.40Jun 13, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$7.48Jun 13, 07:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$7.92Jun 13, 07:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$24.70Jun 13, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$108.00Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?$2.20Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$118.00Jun 13, 06:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?$6.22Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$31.67Jun 12, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$48.00Jun 12, 18:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$20.44Jun 12, 13:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$165.00Jun 12, 12:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$98.00Jun 12, 12:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $37.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.