Several-Irrigation
0x282687aeda303005c7f6d24f194e1a5561baf448
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
14
Open notional
$8.6K
Total PnL
$86.32
Realised
$-10.63
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?
3228 shares @ 63.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.5K
$498.61
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?
2740 shares @ 73.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$233.14
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?
1172 shares @ 63.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$337.26
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
1099 shares @ 91.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$71.43
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?
707 shares @ 84.9¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$604.54
$4.54
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
602 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$581.02
$81.02
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?
642 shares @ 77.9¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$503.90
$3.90
- YES
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
227 shares @ 11.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Nov 19, 2026$17.05
$-7.95
- NO
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
886 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-700.00
- YES
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?
303 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.42Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Aug 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Aug 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Aug 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3,000 by December 31, 2026?$606.36Aug 9, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026?$507.74Aug 9, 03:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.42Aug 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 7, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 6, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 5, 02:33 UTC
- YIELD$0.41Aug 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Aug 3, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.40Aug 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
3 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 3
- Avg trade size
- $707.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 5, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.