Superb-Neighbour
0x28394107e591c54bc17d6e8c280b9914f88129a7
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$26.80
Total PnL
$-2.48
Realised
$0.08
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
NATO dissolves before 2027?
7 shares @ 93.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.22
$0.32
- YES
Amazon 2026 capex above $170B?
7 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$6.77
$0.86
- NO
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4 shares @ 94.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$4.13
$0.13
- NO
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
4 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$0.13
- NO
Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
3 shares @ 85.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.65
$0.29
- NO
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
2 shares @ 94.4¢·now 99.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?
5 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.40
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUkraine election held by December 31, 2026?$2.04Jul 15, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.71Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$2.88Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$2.96Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? $3.60Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4.64Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMMacron out by June 30, 2026?$3.12Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Sumy by June 30?$5.63Jul 15, 15:24 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?$5.41Jun 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADESELLObama divorce before 2027?$2.14Jun 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?$1.62Jun 5, 01:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?$3.42Jun 5, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$4.57May 18, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYObama divorce before 2027?$2.21May 15, 02:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.26May 13, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$3.49May 13, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$4.26May 13, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$5.29May 13, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?$5.33May 13, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYAmazon 2026 capex above $170B?$5.95May 13, 20:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $667.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 15, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 15:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.