Ignorant-Harm
0x2878eaa37062e3498de26f278ce534c3ef4858bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
59
Open notional
$369.41
Total PnL
$-544.40
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- YES
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
308 shares @ 6.5¢·now 47.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$146.00
$126.00
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
313 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$49.84
$-0.16
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
176 shares @ 17.0¢·now 16.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$29.12
$-0.88
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
121 shares @ 33.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$21.22
$-18.78
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 6.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.83
$-2.17
- YES
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7067 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$17.67
$-4.32
- YES
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.33
$-6.67
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
548 shares @ 10.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$12.33
$-47.67
- YES
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
714 shares @ 0.7¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.64
$4.64
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
17 shares @ 29.9¢·now 49.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$8.24
$3.24
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$10.33Jun 4, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?$20.66Jun 4, 11:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-18?$5.13Jun 4, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$5.12Jun 4, 10:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.60Jun 2, 07:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 1, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 31, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 30, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 27, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 26, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15May 26, 11:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 25, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 24, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $17.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".