Boiling-Ham
0x28b3cacb362807b34136c0c476404c35a3e2e4ec
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$171.42
Total PnL
$-83.88
Realised
$-1.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
108 shares @ 38.7¢·now 41.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$44.63
$3.03
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
36 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$30.18
$0.18
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?
31 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.91
$-0.09
- YES
Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027?
30 shares @ 67.0¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$20.70
$0.60
- NO
Will Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?
19 shares @ 94.0¢·now 93.0¢·exp May 1, 2027$17.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Russia capture Sofiivka by December 31?
30 shares @ 64.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.70
$-4.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
100 shares @ 14.0¢·now 13.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.50
$-0.50
- NO
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
4003 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-81.40
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?$5.01Jul 3, 09:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$7.32Jul 3, 09:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?$8.02Jul 1, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aleksandar Vučić win the next Serbia presidential election?$5.01Jul 1, 16:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$13.00Jul 1, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?$30.20Jul 1, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026?$30.00Jul 1, 09:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vučić officially leave office by July 31?$6.70Jul 1, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$36.00Jun 30, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYNATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?$42.00Jun 29, 20:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1.87Jun 29, 20:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$4.01Jun 29, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$1.03Jun 29, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$10.40Jun 29, 13:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYAleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?$10.08Jun 29, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$0.00Jun 29, 12:38 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
38 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $12.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 24, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 3, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.