Made-Up-Pathology
0x28bfdc48eab262fcfad3506d2798e258e401ae14
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$30.95
Total PnL
$-949.71
Realised
$-239.68
Win rate
0%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- LOTTE GIANTS
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz
61 shares @ 40.7¢·now 46.5¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$28.36
$3.51
- SSG LANDERS
KBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers
5 shares @ 26.0¢·now 49.0¢·exp Aug 12, 2026$2.45
$1.15
- NO
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?
2 shares @ 41.4¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.14
$-0.53
- YES
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?
284 shares @ 84.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-239.61
- YES
Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-155.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
204 shares @ 86.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-175.88
- YES
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?
116 shares @ 83.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-97.09
- NO
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
40 shares @ 29.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-11.80
- NO
Will Trump say "Peng" during events with Xi Jinping?
40 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-29.59
- YES
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond?
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$3.08Aug 7, 02:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$3.90Aug 6, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$1.17Aug 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$2.72Aug 6, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$2.06Aug 6, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$2.06Aug 6, 10:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$8.44Aug 6, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: Lotte Giants vs. KT Wiz$1.91Aug 6, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYKBO: LG Twins vs. SSG Landers$1.35Aug 6, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$20.00Aug 6, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Aug 6, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Aug 6, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$1.00Aug 6, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.75Aug 5, 23:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?$0.25Aug 5, 23:18 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner$1.86Aug 5, 19:03 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner$31.15Aug 5, 19:02 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner$7.06Aug 5, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner$2.44Aug 5, 18:59 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner$3.48Aug 5, 18:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 74/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $20.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 25, 18:18 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 02:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.