Yummy-Civilization
0x28e82676700e3fae5ef5c8f76cbf8fae9d9110b1
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$337.41
Total PnL
$-861.79
Realised
$-110.15
Win rate
1%
94 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
107 shares @ 93.2¢·now 96.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$103.17
$3.17
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$103.06
$3.06
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?
103 shares @ 96.8¢·now 99.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$102.43
$2.43
- WASHINGTON MYSTICS
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics
12 shares @ 84.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$10.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
12 shares @ 40.6¢·now 62.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$7.67
$2.67
- NO
Will the Los Angeles Lakers make the 2027 NBA Playoffs?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 21.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$4.48
$-0.52
- WASHINGTON MYSTICS
Spread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)
5 shares @ 56.0¢·now 64.5¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$3.46
$0.46
- YES
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
17 shares @ 28.7¢·now 15.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$2.74
$-2.26
- YES
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?
158 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-07-03?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYToronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics$10.08Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYMinnesota Lynx vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 168.5$3.05Aug 19, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Washington Mystics (-9.5)$3.07Aug 19, 14:46 UTC
- REDEEMAtlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5$3.13Aug 19, 03:54 UTC
- REDEEMNew York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5$3.57Aug 19, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMLos Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5$3.23Aug 19, 01:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Aug 19, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Indiana Fever (-9.5)$2.05Aug 18, 22:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIndiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5$2.01Aug 18, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 181.5$2.04Aug 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5$2.04Aug 18, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYAtlanta Dream vs. Las Vegas Aces$2.04Aug 18, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYIndiana Fever vs. Toronto Tempo: O/U 193.5$2.04Aug 18, 11:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 182.5$2.04Aug 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Chicago Sky$2.04Aug 18, 11:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun$2.04Aug 18, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYLos Angeles Sparks vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 174.5$2.04Aug 18, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries$7.04Aug 18, 04:45 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Golden State Valkyries (-5.5)$3.85Aug 18, 04:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5$2.05Aug 18, 01:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
61/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 94 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
27 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 32/100.
94 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $2.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 14, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 19, 14:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 94 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.