Smoggy-Oat
0x28e969a952697ad782cf5ce850c070cda1c72e87
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$26.25
Total PnL
$-65.20
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Space FDV above $100M one day after launch?
21 shares @ 94.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.26
$1.26
- YES
OpenAI IPO before 2027?
5 shares @ 55.0¢·now 52.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.63
$-0.13
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
5 shares @ 34.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.16
$-0.54
- NO
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
39 shares @ 30.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Space FDV above $15M one day after launch?
39 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-25.00
- NO
Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
30 shares @ 16.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
28 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$5.00Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$5.07Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
- REDEEMUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$24.37Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$4.89Mar 10, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by June 30, 2026?$1.00Mar 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by March 31?$5.00Mar 10, 13:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYKurds declare independence from Iran?$1.00Mar 10, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$5.00Mar 10, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$5.00Mar 10, 13:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$7.00Mar 4, 14:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$5.00Mar 3, 12:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paradex launch a token on March 5?$5.00Mar 3, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$6.10Mar 3, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine strikes another tanker in Black Sea by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 3, 10:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$10.00Mar 2, 15:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$13.64Mar 1, 16:20 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strike on Cuba by March 31?$15.91Mar 1, 16:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.00Feb 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$15.00Feb 24, 14:06 UTC
- TRADESELLEdgeX FDV above $3B one day after launch?$10.32Feb 24, 14:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $8.56
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 19, 14:17 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 10:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.