0x2960fa6e1b94175fd8deba08ce6e881913dd5fc3
0x2960fa6e1b94175fd8deba08ce6e881913dd5fc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
91
Open notional
$14.18
Total PnL
$-152.64
Realised
$-7.39
Win rate
19%
16 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 91- ETERNAL FIRE
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$5.09
$2.75
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 70°F or higher on May 12?
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$5.01
$0.05
- YES
MLB: Perfect Game thrown in 2026 season?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.76
$-0.24
- YES
US recession by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$0.72
$-0.41
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to between 40 and 60 years in prison?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?
38 shares @ 2.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
5 shares @ 6.0¢·now 8.8¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$0.46
$0.15
- YES
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
7 shares @ 14.0¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.39
$-0.61
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3 shares @ 7.9¢·now 12.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.37
$0.14
- YES
Will GTA 6 cost $100+?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 2.4¢·exp Feb 28, 2027$0.21
$-0.79
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6.82Jun 16, 12:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?$6.35Jun 14, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above $240?$1.00Jun 12, 17:21 UTC
- TRADESELLLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$0.73Jun 12, 17:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.00Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.11Jun 12, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.24Jun 12, 17:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.06Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C$1.20Jun 12, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?$1.04Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12?$1.03Jun 12, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?$1.19Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?$1.03Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADESELLTucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$6.09Jun 12, 17:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez$1.20Jun 12, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET$1.06Jun 12, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on June 13?$1.24Jun 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession by end of 2026?$1.18Jun 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on June 14?$1.14Jun 12, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on June 12?$1.04Jun 12, 12:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
36/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
19% win rate over 16 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 43/100.
16 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 19:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 16, 12:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 16 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.