Superior-Parsley
0x299ce26d897f589574f0caa566149a4a53df7e23
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$32.35
Total PnL
$-543.79
Realised
$449.54
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Will David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?
100 shares @ 32.6¢·now 32.4¢·exp Sep 14, 2026$32.35
$-0.25
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
7200 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-42.70
- YES
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
2600 shares @ 18.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-477.02
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
2420 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-71.09
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
1900 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-49.40
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
1800 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-16.20
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
600 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.20
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?
500 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.38
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
400 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.60
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
400 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-26.60
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$96.12Jul 14, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?$30.64Jul 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Harbour – “DTF St. Louis” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie?$1.95Jul 14, 00:59 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.72Jul 14, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$36.68Jul 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$100.58Jul 13, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$93.08Jul 13, 19:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?$95.85Jul 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$33.63Jul 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$46.64Jul 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 31?$96.93Jul 13, 18:54 UTC
- TRADESELLMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$228.97Jul 13, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?$247.50Jul 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$113.28Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$15.48Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?$103.95Jul 13, 14:41 UTC
- REWARD$43.43Jul 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$0.14Jul 12, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Katherine LaNasa – “The Pitt” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actress in a drama series?$9.43Jul 12, 15:40 UTC
- MERGEWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$103.06Jul 12, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $82.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 14, 09:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.