Pessimistic-Brief
0x29b83617dc0b472bc12798707c7491ba5dc808e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
56
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$-665.92
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 56- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
233 shares @ 86.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$184.98
$-15.02
- YES
Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
135 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$135.14
$35.14
- YES
Will David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$128.21
$28.21
- YES
Will the Labour Party win control of the most London borough councils?
120 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$120.48
$20.48
- YES
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
133 shares @ 75.0¢·now 83.0¢·exp May 25, 2026$110.67
$10.67
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
112 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$105.06
$5.06
- YES
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?
109 shares @ 91.9¢·now 93.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$101.22
$1.22
- NO
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
116 shares @ 86.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$101.16
$1.16
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
114 shares @ 88.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$89.20
$-10.80
- UP
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
173 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-6.87
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.03May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 9, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 8, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 6, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?$194.17May 5, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.03May 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.02May 4, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$100.48May 3, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$100.41May 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$100.55May 3, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Farley win the by-election for the seat of Farrer in the Australian House of Representatives?$100.88May 3, 06:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $123.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".