Assured-Merchandise
0x29d3bacd2438bf4f03520484587ff3c0c8d5619b
Wallet digest
Activity score
84/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$204.33
Total PnL
$-84.17
Realised
$79.29
Win rate
78%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
926 shares @ 7.6¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$111.13
$40.67
- YES
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
753 shares @ 5.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$48.95
$6.95
- YES
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?
65 shares @ 17.4¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.68
$6.29
- YES
Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
437 shares @ 3.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.95
$-7.32
- YES
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?
472 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$6.14
$-2.04
- YES
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$4.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.75
$-1.25
- YES
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2245 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$3.37
$-1.12
- YES
US strike on Cuba by March 31?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 before 2026?
406 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-7.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4.62Jun 12, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.15Jun 12, 14:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$15.27Jun 12, 11:21 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$28.73May 27, 22:00 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$26.82May 27, 21:58 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $2B one day after launch?$3.45May 27, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$39.91May 27, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $300M one day after launch?$60.29May 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $150M one day after launch?$27.92May 25, 12:15 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$49.59May 25, 12:05 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$15.65May 21, 11:41 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$22.45May 20, 16:18 UTC
- TRADESELLExtended FDV above $500M one day after launch?$29.86May 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?$39.79May 20, 16:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$52.78May 20, 13:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.06May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.06May 20, 11:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$1.06May 20, 11:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $18.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 17, 16:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.