0x2a3649dc3f92785ad508bbe5239f9f5388a202ff
0x2a3649dc3f92785ad508bbe5239f9f5388a202ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$29.05
Total PnL
$0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?
5 shares @ 39.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$5.00
$3.05
- NO
Will Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?
5 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$4.98
$2.64
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30?
4 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.97
$1.47
- YES
Trump declassifies new UFO files by December 31?
4 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.79
$1.29
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
3 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$3.13
$0.63
- NO
Will Otto Ritter win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
3 shares @ 61.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$3.11
$1.19
- NO
Will Luis Fernando Camacho win the 2026 Santa Cruz gubernatorial election?
3 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$3.02
$1.09
- YES
Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 46.0¢·now 38.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.07
$-0.43
- YES
Will Robert Golob be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
9 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.35
- NO
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
8 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19)$1.47Apr 15, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$1.95Apr 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Stupid" during Fox interview on Wednesday?$2.34Apr 14, 10:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Apr 14, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beinir Johannesen be the next Løgmaður of the Faroe Islands following the 2026 Faroese general election?$0.00Apr 14, 09:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?$4.98Apr 9, 06:40 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$0.00Apr 8, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win 30-34 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$3.01Apr 7, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Freedom Movement (GS) win <25 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$4.17Apr 7, 16:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?$0.00Apr 7, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Nuclear" 3+ times during events with Rutte?$2.04Apr 7, 11:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Jesus Christ" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$5.47Apr 7, 10:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on April 6?$0.00Apr 6, 23:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $570 on April 6?$0.00Apr 6, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Mark Rutte in March?$0.00Apr 6, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?$2.25Apr 6, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $200 on April 6?$2.14Apr 5, 06:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $570 on April 6?$2.15Apr 3, 07:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on April 2?$0.00Apr 2, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon (AMZN) close above $210 on April 2?$1.26Apr 2, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $1.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 28, 06:46 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 15, 08:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.