Steep-Dough
0x2a3e16916cfdc41561018568bb10ddca42bb883d
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$532.31
Total PnL
$1.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
107 shares @ 93.1¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$102.07
$2.07
- NO
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?
111 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$100.56
$0.56
- NO
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
105 shares @ 95.1¢·now 95.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.53
$0.53
- YES
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
204 shares @ 49.0¢·now 48.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$97.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
278 shares @ 18.0¢·now 18.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$50.69
$0.69
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
273 shares @ 16.5¢·now 16.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$45.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
287 shares @ 8.7¢·now 8.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$23.99
$-1.01
- NO
Will Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?
10 shares @ 96.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Oct 24, 2027$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
1 shares @ 98.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.00
$-0.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mauricio Macri win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$10.01May 14, 03:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?$102.04May 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$25.68May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$46.13May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.23May 14, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$1.00May 14, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilei out as President of Argentina before 2027?$100.19May 14, 02:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31?$100.30May 14, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$100.21May 14, 02:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $59.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 02:36 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".