Drafty-Diarist
0x2a4a26bc1b728e8bdcd229b10e8002975d9dc3b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
813 shares @ 40.2¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$286.98
$-40.22
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
502 shares @ 41.1¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$188.41
$-17.97
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
576 shares @ 31.3¢·now 28.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$163.99
$-16.01
- NO
Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
180 shares @ 57.7¢·now 83.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$149.61
$45.62
- YES
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
361 shares @ 35.9¢·now 37.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$135.42
$5.73
- YES
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
376 shares @ 35.7¢·now 34.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.58
$-4.56
- YES
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?
980 shares @ 21.5¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$127.37
$-83.21
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
199 shares @ 32.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$124.38
$60.70
- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
1036 shares @ 9.9¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.00
$11.50
- YES
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
200 shares @ 41.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$77.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$30.00May 18, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$18.00May 18, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$61.50May 18, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$32.40May 18, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$18.00May 18, 10:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.46May 18, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$13.80May 18, 10:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$0.38May 18, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?$0.38May 18, 10:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.41May 18, 10:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$35.00May 18, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$50.00May 18, 10:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$35.60May 18, 10:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$80.00May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$50.00May 18, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$100.00May 18, 06:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$39.00May 17, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$63.00May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$2.84May 17, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by May 31?$3.34May 17, 18:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $25.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 10:27 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 18:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".