Stingy-Faucet
0x2a9958838ef86cb22550eb35f5ef0e290da0a499
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.8K
Total PnL
$-42.0K
Realised
$-1.3K
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- NO
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?
2301 shares @ 75.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$1.8K
$34.52
- NO
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?
575 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$505.75
$5.75
- NO
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?
781 shares @ 64.0¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$476.57
$-23.44
- YES
Will Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?
311 shares @ 25.7¢·now 20.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$62.26
$-17.74
- NO
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?
7 shares @ 87.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$6.21
$0.21
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
364907 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.2K
- NO
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
303169 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?
16789 shares @ 48.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.1K
- YES
Lighter Airdrop on December 31?
11580 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
10163 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-77.97
Recent activity
- MAKER_REBATE$3.08Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$590.64Jun 9, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$290.64Jun 9, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk tweet "Hyperliquid" by December 31, 2026?$31.68Jun 9, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYExtended FDV above $800M one day after launch?$504.55Jun 9, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$45.15Jun 9, 06:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$512.60Jun 9, 06:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$814.00Jun 9, 06:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $2B one day after launch?$6.05Jun 9, 06:39 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $800M one day after launch?$850.68Jun 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$876.06Jun 2, 23:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?$1.1KJun 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$900.88Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$313.50Jun 2, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$15.60Jun 2, 17:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$11.44Jun 2, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 17:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10.40Jun 2, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYVariational FDV above $1B one day after launch?$7.12Jun 2, 14:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $313.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 00:53 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.