Ugly-Butcher
0x2af63f466948cbb8209ef6aa70868e25a693ff10
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
36
Open notional
$3.8K
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Will Paraguay win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
411 shares @ 83.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$405.45
$64.32
- YES
World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?
535 shares @ 74.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$398.84
$2.68
- NO
Will Senegal win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
444 shares @ 93.0¢·now 89.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$395.16
$-17.76
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
383 shares @ 87.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$333.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
349 shares @ 79.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$331.65
$54.65
- NO
Will the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
312 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$299.83
$0.94
- YES
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
535 shares @ 55.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$248.93
$-45.50
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
512 shares @ 65.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$235.66
$-97.34
- NO
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
244 shares @ 90.8¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$231.53
$10.39
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
10158 shares @ 4.9¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$208.24
$-291.76
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.06Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 9, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 8, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.06Jun 7, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$191.12Jun 6, 09:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.00Jun 6, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.96Jun 6, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2.87Jun 6, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.52Jun 6, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$33.53Jun 6, 00:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 6, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.78Jun 5, 18:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Republic of Congo win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$26.15Jun 5, 08:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$299.00Jun 4, 00:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $142.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.