Vapid-Grabbag
0x2bae1fd019a5e225bc1a678728636eb21eb11854
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$75.68
Total PnL
$-42.32
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
14 shares @ 97.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.99
$-0.01
- NO
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
12 shares @ 99.5¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$11.92
$-0.08
- NO
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
11 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$11.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?
10 shares @ 96.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.08
$0.08
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10 shares @ 93.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.94
$-0.06
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
6 shares @ 88.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in Qatar / UAE before 2027?
4 shares @ 99.0¢·now 95.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.84
$-0.16
- NO
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
3 shares @ 93.1¢·now 99.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.20
$0.20
- NO
Will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next in China before 2027?
3 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.97
$-0.03
- NO
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
2 shares @ 96.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.07
$0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$3.6KMay 18, 06:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.1KMay 18, 05:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.65May 18, 05:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.64May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.06May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$478.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$436.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$19.90May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$459.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$472.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$418.00May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.65May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$879.40May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$29.58May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$34.51May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$73.95May 18, 04:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$123.25May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$10.85May 18, 03:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$8.54May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?$1.04May 18, 03:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $327.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 18:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".