Arid-Downfall
0x2bdcb235285e10c6c8f105ab1a72781daab3e1dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$886.49
Total PnL
$-493.76
Realised
$19.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
230 shares @ 87.0¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$225.98
$25.98
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?
263 shares @ 76.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$223.68
$23.68
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
220 shares @ 91.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$168.13
$-31.87
- YES
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
279 shares @ 35.8¢·now 42.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$119.85
$19.85
- YES
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?
232 shares @ 43.1¢·now 34.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$80.26
$-19.74
- YES
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?
789 shares @ 12.7¢·now 8.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$68.58
$-31.42
- YES
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?
691 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?
152 shares @ 66.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
119 shares @ 84.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
118 shares @ 85.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$316.01Jun 10, 21:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 6 countries in 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?$100.00Jun 10, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$937.45Jun 10, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$1.0KJun 8, 23:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$200.00Jun 8, 20:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$201.04Jun 8, 20:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$200.00Jun 8, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 9?$300.00Jun 8, 11:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.05Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.1KJun 7, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$381.05Jun 7, 19:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael closes its airspace by June 15?$800.00Jun 7, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by June 8?$2.2KJun 7, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$101.22Jun 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$100.12Jun 7, 19:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$107.50Jun 7, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$108.75Jun 7, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$113.06Jun 7, 19:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $308.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 10, 21:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.