Neat-Blackboard
0x2c0592398a774cb742fdb5374967fa039e53d268
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
43
Open notional
$68.54
Total PnL
$-227.31
Realised
$1.16
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 43- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
33 shares @ 46.0¢·now 47.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$15.49
$0.49
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
26 shares @ 38.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$15.40
$5.40
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
13 shares @ 37.9¢·now 66.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.77
$3.77
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
75 shares @ 13.3¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.61
$-1.39
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
91 shares @ 5.5¢·now 8.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$8.14
$3.14
- YES
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
147 shares @ 3.4¢·now 2.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$4.04
$-0.96
- YES
SBF released from custody in 2026?
38 shares @ 13.0¢·now 7.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.69
$-2.31
- YES
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?
73 shares @ 6.9¢·now 2.3¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$1.63
$-3.37
- YES
Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
200 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
21 shares @ 24.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.35
$-3.65
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump’s approval rating be less than 37.5 on May 22, 2026?$10.20May 15, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.19May 15, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$15.00May 15, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 350k and 400k?$5.23May 15, 20:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$16.67May 15, 19:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$22.73May 15, 19:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$4.09May 14, 05:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$5.14May 14, 04:47 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump and Xi handshake last 10–15 seconds during the day of their next meeting in 2026?$5.16May 12, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x China tariff agreement by May 31?$5.12May 12, 23:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 9, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?$5.19May 8, 04:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 10
- Avg trade size
- $6.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".