Right-Hardship
0x2c1210a6404d6e46b22263a3cd2a0e3d5783d725
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
4
Open notional
$72.13
Total PnL
$192.37
Realised
$183.32
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
240 shares @ 9.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.00
$38.40
- YES
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
12 shares @ 31.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jan 10, 2027$10.12
$6.53
- NO
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?
2 shares @ 56.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.02
$0.68
- YES
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
159 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-36.57
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the US next strike Iran on March 13, 2026 (ET)?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMRobinhood launches prediction market through MIAXdx by March 31?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill No Other Choice be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill "President" be said at the Oscars?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Peace in the Middle East" while addressing the nation on December 17?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill PEAK win Better With Friends at the 2025 Steam Awards?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX or OpenAI IPO first?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$968.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'BULLY' - Ye debut week album sales be less than 300k?$0.00Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$8.50Jun 15, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$24.05Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$25.65Jun 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$713.92Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "The Great Divide" - Noah Kahan debut week album sales be at least 250k?$621.92Apr 27, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$100.98Apr 27, 08:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$69.70Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$31.96Apr 27, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Czechia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$677.60Apr 23, 12:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$95.62Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX have 200 or more launches in 2026?$67.34Apr 23, 10:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
17/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $154.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 12:48 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 17, 23:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.