Over 4 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?
Probability
76¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+14.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 6013.2h
- 15:50SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 6013h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 76¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 76¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 76¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 76¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 77¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 76¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 76¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.5pp
to 76¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 76¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.5pp
to 75¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 71¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 74¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jan 1, 2027
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).