Rapid-Subcomponent
0x2c648d7a5914f4e376d214e9d0e87b76d7f1bc3e
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
23
Open notional
$125.84
Total PnL
$3.75
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 23- YES
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
23 shares @ 42.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.31
$13.31
- YES
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
54 shares @ 9.2¢·now 36.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.69
$14.69
- YES
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
17 shares @ 59.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.95
$6.95
- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?
8 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$7.81
$2.81
- NO
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30?
6 shares @ 80.9¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.05
$1.05
- YES
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?
6 shares @ 83.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$6.02
$1.02
- NO
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?
6 shares @ 84.0¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.93
$0.93
- YES
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
6 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$5.88
$0.88
- NO
Will Syria recognize Israel by June 30?
6 shares @ 89.0¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$5.50
$0.50
- NO
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
6 shares @ 80.0¢·now 87.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$5.44
$0.44
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$5.00Feb 2, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$5.00Feb 2, 06:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike ≤1 countries in January 2026?$5.32Feb 2, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.38Feb 2, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Australian Open?$5.09Jan 29, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?$1.00Jan 29, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSeahawks vs. Patriots$3.00Jan 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS government shutdown Saturday?$3.00Jan 29, 06:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$5.00Jan 29, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Black" or "Hispanic" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Middle East" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Israel" or "Gaza" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Kamala" or "Harris" during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?$5.00Jan 29, 06:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?$5.00Jan 29, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Turkey military clash before 2027?$5.00Jan 29, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?$5.00Jan 29, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Syria recognize Israel by June 30?$5.00Jan 29, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30?$5.00Jan 29, 06:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $4.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 2, 06:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.