Naughty-Tag
0x2cf9431dbb7dcbcd9b280d03cb529377c9d6a20f
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$1.1K
Total PnL
$47.62
Realised
$80.35
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- NO
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
500 shares @ 93.0¢·now 96.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$482.01
$17.00
- YES
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?
230 shares @ 81.6¢·now 82.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$189.75
$2.15
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
110 shares @ 53.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$92.94
$33.85
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$90.50
$7.50
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
50 shares @ 72.2¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$49.52
$13.42
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
50 shares @ 84.8¢·now 94.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.38
$4.97
- YES
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
61 shares @ 81.3¢·now 59.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$35.99
$-13.63
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
30 shares @ 78.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$24.75
$1.35
- NO
Netanyahu out by June 30?
25 shares @ 86.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$24.70
$3.20
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
20 shares @ 94.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.72
$0.92
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLPutin out as President of Russia by June 30?$49.50Jun 13, 15:06 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$58.62Jun 12, 16:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$57.40Jun 10, 18:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 6, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 5, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 4, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 3, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$18.42Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election?$30.78Jun 2, 17:51 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 2, 00:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$0.93Jun 1, 04:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$57.48Jun 1, 04:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 14
- Avg trade size
- $98.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.