Sardonic-Caper
0x2d6ce0b703efb60f8f356246bcdb98544a54e3f5
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$633.74
Total PnL
$-84.65
Realised
$-4.78
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1210 shares @ 16.6¢·now 17.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$215.99
$15.13
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1160 shares @ 17.3¢·now 16.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$189.66
$-11.02
- NO
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?
50 shares @ 86.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$42.25
$-0.75
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?
50 shares @ 76.0¢·now 67.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$33.50
$-4.50
- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
370 shares @ 7.8¢·now 8.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$31.64
$2.60
- YES
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 73.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$30.75
$-5.75
- NO
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $132 in May?
49 shares @ 43.0¢·now 37.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$17.99
$-2.92
- YES
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
50 shares @ 92.0¢·now 30.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$15.20
$-30.80
- YES
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?
50 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$14.00
$1.50
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
35 shares @ 27.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.27
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?$3.1632m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Kharkiv by December 31, 2026?$0.4432m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $96 in May?$21.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$16.503h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $98 in May?$18.003h ago
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$43.266h ago
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a social network in 2026?$46.996h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$1.487h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in May?$12.507h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in May?$43.007h ago
- YIELD$0.047h ago
- REWARD$20.068h ago
- TRADESELLWill Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $288 in May?$0.789h ago
- TRADESELLWill Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?$2.939h ago
- TRADESELLWill Troy Green be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Oklahoma?$0.019h ago
- TRADESELLWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?$5.599h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $4.50 in May?$5.959h ago
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in May?$12.669h ago
- TRADESELLWill Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (HIGH) $152 in May?$1.569h ago
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?$1.4010h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $9.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 16h ago
- Last active
- 32m ago
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
