Pesky-Numismatist
0x2d7234b394ce06046f929000a1c6a6af98482f0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
20
Open notional
$1.9K
Total PnL
$-666.48
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2501 shares @ 16.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$673.97
$273.97
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$500.00
$410.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
300 shares @ 31.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$300.00
$207.00
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
460 shares @ 52.1¢·now 43.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$197.76
$-42.24
- YES
Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026?
105 shares @ 8.6¢·now 53.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.02
$47.04
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
720 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$54.00
$-46.80
- YES
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?
1001 shares @ 28.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$52.57
$-227.82
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
500 shares @ 4.5¢·now 2.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.25
$-9.25
- YES
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
101 shares @ 19.0¢·now 13.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$13.19
$-6.09
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
20000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 28, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 26, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 24, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 21, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 19, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.08Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.07Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.